Managed Care Digest Series® Spotlight

Medicare Enrollment Shows Surprising Deceleration of Growth in Early 2020

According to national enrollment data, Medicare increased steadily from 2015 to 2019 (not shown), with growth averaging around 125,000 beneficiaries per month, or 1.5 million beneficiaries per year.

The first half of 2020 showed a surprising deceleration of Medicare enrollment, relative to the recent trend. Through July, average Medicare enrollment in 2020 increased by just under 52,000 lives per month.

Click here to read the 2020 Public Payer Digest.

ACTUAL VS. PROJECTED   MEDICARE  ENROLLMENT,  2019–2020 and ACTUAL MONTHLY CHANGE IN   MEDICARE ENROLLMENT,  2019–2020

Data source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services © 2020

2 Data for 2020 are as of August, include preliminary data, and are subject to change. All data include Medicaid and Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) recipients, and exclude Medicare-Medicaid (“dual”) enrollees in most reporting states.

3 Exact counts were plotted; data labels reflect rounding.

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